3D movies are most likely a success nowadays, considering the difference between 2D and 3D viewing experience. As proven by CES 2010, manufacturers are ready to sell 3D gear, but that doesn't essentially means that consumers are ready to dig it. The consumer electronics industry believes that the success of 3D movies like "Avatar" will get people pumped up for another upgrade cycle, but with plenty of people just getting HDTVs within the last few years, it's likely to be a tough sell. We have expressed our own skepticism and seen plenty of 3D-hate in the comments, but it's worth pointing out that we saw that same kind of comments when Blu-ray came out.
Generally, we are much more dubious about the success of 3D than we were about Blu-ray, but it's easy to get caught up in the hasty response that nobody will care about a new home video format. Meanwhile, there have been several home video formats that were never widely adopted: Betamax, LaserDisc, and D-VHS spring to mind. (Some even thought that DVD would fail.) It seems that even successful new video formats go through the same stages: first there's disbelief that people will care about the new technological advantages, then it's too costly, then there's not enough media, then finally (considering that its success) grudging recognition.
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